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They say the league table doesn’t lie. Well early in the season it might do as things settle down but if a team is bottom after 27 games then it’s difficult to argue that they don’t deserve to be there. So why are Wolves bottom and why should we believe they can finish above three teams come the season end?
For me the reason they are bottom is one obvious reason and one tactical failing. The obvious reason is that their away record is appalling. 14 games played, won 1, drawn 2, lost 11 and scored only 10. That is the worst away record in the league by some distance and it’s difficult to imagine Wolves staying up just by getting points from home games. I think they will need to find at least one more win away. My strong opinion is that Wolves are too cautious in their approach on their travels.
The second reason for them struggling, which is connected to the poor away record, is that McCarthy and Connor have not found the solution to the dilemna that Wolves rarely look like scoring when they play one up front but look too open when they play two strikers. Doyle is by far the best suited of the strikers to play the lone role but because he does so much good work outside the penalty area he rarely gets scoring opportunities. And Wolves have nobody amongst their midfield or wide players that looks likely to get more than 3 or 4 goals a season, unless O’Hara can change that.
All of those arguments point to Wolves being likely to go down. And yet the fact is that it is looking increasingly likely that 38 points, a point a game over the season, may will be enough to stay up. Wolves are just 2 points off a point a game and over the last 1/3 of a season they have got 16 points from the last 13 games. So there is an argument for saying that Wolves will not have to improve their form to stay up, just keep at the level they have been at since the end of November.
The defensive line of Hennessey, Zubar, Stearman, Berra and Elokobi are only conceding at an average of one goal a game. That puts them on a par with the best teams in the division. So it is all about the goals scored record that is holding Wolves back. They must now of course start beating the lesser teams but their has to be encouragement that all the games against the top teams are behind them, and no other team in the relegation battle can say that.
It’s clearly going to be a close call and a defeat at Molineux on Saturday would make even the most positive of Wolves fans think that will mean Championship football next season. But spare a thought for Albion. They have had their great chance to get back on the survival track as their last two games were at home to West Ham and Wolves – and they didn’t win either of them. If Wolves can win on Saturday and Albion lose their next game at Stoke then Wolves will be above their rivals at last, just a week later than we hoped.
Finally it’s great news that Michael Kightly rejoins full training on Monday. If all goes to plan he will be loaned out for a month and then might even have a role with Wolves before the season is out. Lets hope he can get back to full fitness and playing again. If he does then he will be a major boost for next season. A midfield player that scores and creates goals – exactly what we need.
Category: Team News
Tags: Team NewsTweet « Wolves have to settle for a draw in the derby | Home | Comments | Add your comment afdsgs | February 23rd, 2011 at 7:46 am
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