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9 more Premier League games to go in the 2010/11 season for Wolves and it’s all very tight still at the bottom of the league. Virtually half the teams in the league remain threatened with the drop and I am sure supporters of each of those teams will be wondering how many more points there team will need from the run in to still be playing in the top flight next season.
Lets look at the games remaining for the bottom 9 teams, and that brings in Stoke, Villa, Blackburn, Blackpool, Albion, Blues, West Ham, Wolves and Wigan.
Stoke will probably be ok but they have the distraction of a Cup Semi Final and a none too easy run in. They have home games against Newcastle, Chelsea, Wolves, Arsenal and Wigan. Lets give them 7 points from those. And away games at Spurs, Villa, Blackpool and Man City. 3 points maybe from those. So ten more points on top of the 34 they already have, so 44 will be plenty.
Villa are probably too good to go down. Their home games are Wolves, Newcastle, Stoke, Wigan and Liverpool. 8 points from those. And away games at Everton, West Ham, Albion and Arsenal. They can probably find one win from those so 11 more points would take them to 44 also.
Blackburn have home games against Blackpool, Birmingham, Man City, Bolton and Man Utd. I will give them 6 points for those but that might be being generous. Their away games are at Arsenal, Everton, West Ham and Wolves. I don’t think they will win any of those so I reckon they will get maybe 7 more points in total taking them to 39.
Blackpool have home games against Arsenal, Newcastle, Wigan, Stoke and Bolton. Like most people I have been underestimating what Blackpool can achieve for most of the season, so I will give them 7 points from those. The away games are at Blackburn, Fulham, Spurs and Man Utd. Can’t see them winning any of those so I will estimate 8 more points overall to take them to 40.
Our good friends the Albion have home games to come against Arsenal, Liverpool, Chelsea, Villa and Everton. No easy ones there and I will give them 5 points. They have to travel to Sunderland, Spurs, Wolves and Newcastle. Lets be generous and say they will win one of those (I dread to think which one) so they can get 8 more points to take them to 40.
Birmingham have won a cup but can they stay up? They have a game in hand on the other teams in the bottom half but have only 4 home games left against Bolton, Sunderland, Wolves and Fulham. They will need a couple of wins so lets give them 7 points. 6 away games are at Wigan, Blackburn, Chelsea, Liverpool, Newcastle and Spurs. They could get 4 points from those so lets say they can get 11 points from 10 games and that would take them to 42 and safety.
West Ham have 4 home games left against Man Utd, Villa, Blackburn and Sunderland. They can win a couple of those for 6 or 7 points. Their away games are at Spurs, Bolton, Chelsea, Man City and Wigan. I can’t see them getting much more than 3 points from those so we will be generous and give them 10 more points to end up on 41.
Wigan also have only 4 left at home and meet Birmingham, Spurs, Everton and West Ham. A good run in could see them get 7 points. Their away games are at Chelsea, Blackpool, Sunderland, Villa and Stoke. All told thats not a bad run in and they could get 5 or 6 points away. So lets give them 12 from the last 9 games (which is generous compared to what they have done all season) and that would see them end on 39.
So my conclusion from all that is that Blackburn, Blackpool, Albion and Wigan are all going to be hovering around 40 points come the end of the season so I reckon that 41 points will be enough to survive. That gives Wolves a target of 12 points from 9 games.
Wolves have just 4 home games left and it’s the home form that has kept them in contention all season. They have matches at Molineux against Everton, Fulham, Albion and Blackburn. I think they will get 7 points from those. That leaves 5 away games at Villa, Newcastle, Stoke, Birmingham and Sunderland. They need to find a win in one of those and they have only won one on the road all season. My unbiased view is that we could end on 40 points too!
As if we didn’t know it, it’s going to be very close. And goal difference may well settle it. Wigan have by far the worst goal difference and at the moment Blackburn the best of the 5 contenders. As for Wolves, Albion and Blackpool they are all currently showing a goal difference of -15.
Wish I hadn’t written this article. I suddenly feel very stressed.
Category: Team News
Tags: Team NewsTweet « Football starvation for Wolves supporters | Home | Comments | Add your comment Norsk Wolf | March 17th, 2011 at 2:22 am
Wolves v Everton 2-1 3pts
Wolves v Fulham 1-1 1pt
Wolves v Albion 3-1 3pts
Wolves v Blackburn 2-1 3pts
Vila v Wolves 2-2 1pt
Newcastle v Wolves 2-1 0pts
Stoke v Wolves 2-2 1pt
Brum v Wolves 1-3 3pts
Sunderland v Wolves 1-1 1pt
45pts job done and not really bothered about what other teams achieve……next season european finish 
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