The Soccer Blog: Bottom, but Wolves in the mix

Saturday, 16 April 2011

Bottom, but Wolves in the mix

By: DJ | April 16th, 2011
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wolves1960 They say that the team that are bottom at xmas always goes down. Well that’s bad news for West Ham but surely it’s even more likely that the team bottom in Mid April will go down. Well Wolves now find themselves there but I remember saying that if we lost to Everton that the league table was going to get very ugly by the time the Fulham game came around. And now we know that it doesn’t look anywhere near as bad as feared. Just three points off 16th with a game in hand.

The bad news is that the likes of Villa, Albion and Birmingham have taken themselves to one win away from the required points target. The good news is that the likes of Fulham, Stoke and Sunderland are on a similar mark and will still be looking over their shoulder, especially Sunderland who have got one point from their last nine games. But the best news of all is that Blackburn, Blackpool, West Ham and Wigan are within three points of Wolves and none of them look capable of putting a run of results together.

West Ham are likely to make no further progress in April as they visit Chelsea and Man City on the next two weekends and they will likely be bottom going into the last three weeks before they have 3 games where points look possible at home to Blackburn and Sunderland and away at Wigan.

Wigan have away games at Sunderland, Villa and Stoke and home games against Everton and West Ham. They were the hot favourites for the drop but now look like they might escape and that home game against West Ham on the penultimate weekend looks like a cup final.

Blackpool look unlikely to get anything more on their travels as they visit Spurs and Man Utd. So their hopes rest on homes games against Newcastle, Stoke and Bolton. But they have got only one point from their last six games so it would be difficult to see them winning many games now.

Blackburn’s last three home games are against Man City, Bolton and Man Utd so they might need to rely on points away. And their two games away are six pointers at West Ham and Wolves. Their last ten Premier League games have seen them get 4 draws and 6 defeats so are they capable of winning many of the last five?

So how many will these teams end up with? Blackpool currently have 33 points and I can’t see them ending on more than 37. Blackburn currently have 35 and I can’t see them getting more than 38 before they come to Molineux on the final day. Forgetting the game where they play each other, I think West Ham and Wigan can both get 6 more points. That would take Wigan to 40 and West Ham to 38.

All that leads to two games deciding the relegation teams. The losers of the Wigan v West Ham on the penultimate weekend, and the losers of the Wolves v Blackburn game on the final weekend joining Blackpool in the Championship.

But that all depends on how many points Wolves get in the five games before that final weekend. Fulham home, Stoke away, Birmingham away, Albion home and Sunderland away. If they dont get 4 points then they are likely to be already down. 4, 5, 6 or 7 will likely mean its all down to beating or at least not losing to Blackburn. 8 or 9 and then a draw on the last day will likely be enough and if results go their way they might even be safe.

Wolves met Blackburn in their last FA Cup Final in 1960. They won that one 3-0. It’s looking increasingly likely that Molineux on May 22nd will see a game much more important than that.

Category: Team News

Tags: Team News
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Saturday, 16 April 2011

Bottom, but Wolves in the mix

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